Pyrénées-Orientales — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pyrénées-Orientales
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 40.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrénées-Orientales — 2ème circonscription | 59.5% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 3.9% |
| Provincial averagePyrénées-Orientales | 52.7%+6.7 | 24.0%−4.9 | 14.6%+0.8 | 4.4%−0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+23.5 | 29.0%−9.9 | 17.0%−1.6 | 3.9% |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Anaïs SABATINI · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 40.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anaïs SABATINI Elected | RN and allies | 38,323 | 55.0 |
| Marc MEDINA | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,257 | 20.5 |
| David BERRUÉ | Left (NFP) | 13,910 | 20.0 |
| Mercedes GARCIA | Others | 1,337 | 1.9 |
| Brigitte LAURENS | RN and allies | 1,258 | 1.8 |
| Philippe GOISET | Far left | 618 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated