Pas-de-Calais — 12ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pas-de-Calais
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 41.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pas-de-Calais — 12ème circonscription | 61.9% | 20.2% | 12.7% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averagePas-de-Calais | 53.2%+8.8 | 20.8%−0.6 | 12.8% | 2.2%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+26.0 | 29.0%−8.8 | 17.0%−4.3 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Bruno BILDE · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 41.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno BILDE Elected | RN and allies | 33,944 | 59.2 |
| Alain BAVAY | Left (NFP) | 12,059 | 21.0 |
| Steve BOSSART | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,178 | 17.8 |
| Régis SCHEENAERTS | Far left | 1,121 | 2.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pas-de-Calais — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Pas-de-Calais — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 5ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Pas-de-Calais — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated