Pas-de-Calais — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pas-de-Calais
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pas-de-Calais — 3ème circonscription | 56.3% | 31.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averagePas-de-Calais | 53.2%+3.1 | 20.8%+10.5 | 9.6%−5.1 | 12.8%−8.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+20.3 | 29.0%+2.4 | 12.2%−7.7 | 17.0%−12.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Bruno CLAVET · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 24.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno CLAVET Elected | RN and allies | 25,200 | 52.4 |
| Jean-Marc TELLIER | Left (NFP) | 15,530 | 32.3 |
| François QUESTE | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,427 | 9.2 |
| Jacques DUQUENNE | LR and allies | 1,586 | 3.3 |
| Michel DARRAS | Far left | 800 | 1.7 |
| Michèle LEJEUNE | RN and allies | 546 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pas-de-Calais — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Pas-de-Calais — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 5ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Nord — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated