Nord — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 67% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.1 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 66%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 5ème circonscription | 40.9% | 33.8% | 22.3% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%−1.1 | 12.7%+21.0 | 28.2%−5.9 | 3.6%−1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.9 | 12.2%+21.5 | 29.0%−6.7 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sébastien HUYGHE · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 7.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor CATTEAU | RN and allies | 27,411 | 40.1 |
| Sébastien HUYGHE Elected | LR and allies | 23,510 | 34.4 |
| Ophélie DELNESTE | Left (NFP) | 16,591 | 24.3 |
| Raymond COVAIN | Far left | 858 | 1.3 |
| Chloé OLIVEREAU | Far left | 24 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Nord — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Pas-de-Calais — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated