Nord — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 46% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.0 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 83%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 4ème circonscription | 29.6% | 28.7% | 26.2% | 12.5% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%−12.4 | 28.2%+0.5 | 11.8%+14.4 | 12.7%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−6.3 | 29.0%−0.3 | 17.0%+9.2 | 12.2%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Brigitte LISO · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 1.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brigitte LISO Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,494 | 31.3 |
| Charlotte BRUN | Left (NFP) | 20,301 | 29.6 |
| Anne MORAND | RN and allies | 17,832 | 26.0 |
| Sébastien LEBLANC | LR and allies | 6,461 | 9.4 |
| Nicolas LE NEINDRE | LR and allies | 1,330 | 1.9 |
| Fatima ABDELLAOUI | Far left | 539 | 0.8 |
| Patrick JARDIN | RN and allies | 533 | 0.8 |
| Franck BOYAVAL | Others | 144 | 0.2 |
| Damien SCALI | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Nord — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Nord — 9ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Nord — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Nord — 5ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Nord — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated