Nord — 2ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Nord

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
Nord — 2ème circonscription	46.3%	24.8%	15.7%	9.0%
Provincial averageNord	28.2%+18.2	42.0%−17.2	11.8%+4.0	12.7%−3.7
National averageFrance	29.0%+17.3	36.0%−11.2	17.0%−1.3	12.2%−3.2

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Ugo BERNALICIS · Left (NFP)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 21.5 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Ugo BERNALICIS Elected	Left (NFP)	26,491	47.3
Philippe GUÉRARD	RN and allies	12,256	21.9
Violette SALANON	Centre (Ensemble)	11,630	20.8
Caroline BOISARD-VANNIER	LR and allies	4,378	7.8
Pascale ROUGÉE	Far left	645	1.2
Claire GUENON	Others	385	0.7
Etienne TESTART	Far left	208	0.4

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.