Nord — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 50% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.1 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 92%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 7ème circonscription | 32.6% | 31.6% | 31.3% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%−9.4 | 11.8%+19.8 | 28.2%+3.1 | 3.6%−1.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−3.3 | 17.0%+14.6 | 29.0%+2.2 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Félicie GERARD · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 1.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Félicie GERARD Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,168 | 36.7 |
| Karima CHOUIA | Left (NFP) | 15,053 | 32.2 |
| Céline SAYAH | RN and allies | 13,163 | 28.1 |
| Jean-Sébastien Paul Louis WILLEM | RN and allies | 763 | 1.6 |
| Nicolas SCHUURMAN | Far left | 617 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Nord — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Nord — 9ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Nord — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Nord — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Nord — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated