Nord — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Sovereignists | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 8ème circonscription | 47.5% | 33.7% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 28.2%+19.3 | 42.0%−8.3 | 11.8%−0.7 | 0.2%+2.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+18.5 | 36.0%−2.3 | 17.0%−5.9 | 0.3%+2.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
David GUIRAUD · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 13.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| David GUIRAUD Elected | Left (NFP) | 17,405 | 48.5 |
| Ethan LEYS | RN and allies | 11,051 | 30.8 |
| Tarik MEKKI | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,766 | 16.1 |
| Maël CAMERLYNCK | Sovereignists | 1,011 | 2.8 |
| Françoise DELBARRE | Far left | 652 | 1.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Nord — 9ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Nord — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Nord — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Nord — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Nord — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated