Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Nord — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Nord

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 81% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.9 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 38%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 33.0%
  • Left (NFP) 18.7%
  • LR and allies 7.5%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Nord — 6ème circonscription 37.9%33.0%18.7%7.5%
Provincial averageNord 42.0%−4.1 11.8%+21.2 28.2%−9.5 12.7%−5.2
National averageFrance 36.0%+1.9 17.0%+16.0 29.0%−10.3 12.2%−4.7

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Charlotte PARMENTIER-LECOCQ · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 4.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Charlotte PARMENTIER-LECOCQ Elected Centre (Ensemble) 25,831 38.1
Marie Hélène QUATREBOEUFS RN and allies 23,781 35.1
Célia PEREIRA Left (NFP) 13,243 19.5
Jimi EROTICO LR and allies 4,265 6.3
Frédéric BARREZ Far left 687 1.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated