Nord — 21ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 7%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 21ème circonscription | 45.3% | 30.2% | 21.2% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%+3.3 | 12.7%+17.5 | 28.2%−7.0 | 3.6%−1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.4 | 12.2%+18.0 | 29.0%−7.9 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Valérie LÉTARD · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence BARA | RN and allies | 21,337 | 43.6 |
| Valérie LÉTARD Elected | LR and allies | 14,280 | 29.2 |
| Pierrick COLPIN | Left (NFP) | 11,290 | 23.1 |
| Édith DUQUESNOY | Far left | 726 | 1.5 |
| Laurent LASSELIN | LR and allies | 709 | 1.5 |
| Séverine DUMINY | RN and allies | 580 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 20ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 19ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 18ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 16ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Forecast updated