Nord — 20ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 20ème circonscription | 53.0% | 30.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%+11.0 | 28.2%+2.1 | 12.7%−5.0 | 11.8%−6.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+17.1 | 29.0%+1.3 | 12.2%−4.5 | 17.0%−11.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Guillaume FLORQUIN · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 22.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guillaume FLORQUIN Elected | RN and allies | 23,852 | 50.3 |
| Fabien ROUSSEL | Left (NFP) | 14,791 | 31.2 |
| Pierre-Luc VERVANDIER | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,010 | 10.6 |
| Élisabeth GONDY | LR and allies | 3,087 | 6.5 |
| Dimitri MOZDZIERZ | Far left | 679 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 21ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 19ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 16ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Nord — 18ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated