Nord — 18ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 18ème circonscription | 52.7% | 32.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%+10.7 | 12.7%+19.7 | 28.2%−16.6 | 3.6%−1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+16.7 | 12.2%+20.2 | 29.0%−17.5 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Alexandre DUFOSSET · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 20.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre DUFOSSET Elected | RN and allies | 29,404 | 52.5 |
| Nicolas SIEGLER | LR and allies | 18,434 | 32.9 |
| Benoît MARECHAL | Left (NFP) | 7,230 | 12.9 |
| Nadine REYNAERT | Far left | 930 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 19ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aisne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 16ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 20ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 17ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 21ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated