Nord — 17ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 17ème circonscription | 50.7% | 28.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%+8.7 | 28.2%+0.8 | 12.7%−3.6 | 11.8%−4.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+14.7 | 29.0%−0.1 | 12.2%−3.1 | 17.0%−9.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Thierry TESSON · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 21.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thierry TESSON Elected | RN and allies | 21,803 | 47.9 |
| Frédéric CHÉREAU | Left (NFP) | 13,575 | 29.8 |
| Guillaume HONORÉ | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,739 | 12.6 |
| Loick BROUAZIN | LR and allies | 3,627 | 8.0 |
| Cédric FLUCKIGER | Far left | 751 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 16ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Nord — 5ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Nord — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated