Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Nord — 3ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Nord

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 52.6%
  • Left (NFP) 41.3%
  • Far left 3.0%
  • Others 1.9%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Far left Others
Nord — 3ème circonscription 52.6%41.3%3.0%1.9%
Provincial averageNord 42.0%+10.6 28.2%+13.1 1.5%+1.5 3.6%−1.7
National averageFrance 36.0%+16.6 29.0%+12.3 1.1%+1.9 3.9%−2.0

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Sandra DELANNOY · RN and allies

Previous election (2024)

The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Sandra DELANNOY Elected RN and allies 26,874 50.8
Benjamin SAINT-HUILE Left (NFP) 23,429 44.3
Marie-Claude RONDEAUX Far left 1,697 3.2
Louis MAHIEU RN and allies 876 1.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated