Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Aisne — 3ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Aisne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 57.5%
  • Left (NFP) 35.0%
  • Sovereignists 2.8%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.7%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Sovereignists Others
Aisne — 3ème circonscription 57.5%35.0%2.8%1.9%
Provincial averageAisne 55.9%+1.6 20.8%+14.2 0.6%+2.2 2.1%−0.2
National averageFrance 36.0%+21.6 29.0%+5.9 0.3%+2.5 3.9%−2.0

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Eddy CASTERMAN · RN and allies

Previous election (2024)

The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 22.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Eddy CASTERMAN Elected RN and allies 23,577 57.6
Jean-Louis BRICOUT Left (NFP) 15,385 37.6
Damien CRÉON Sovereignists 1,165 2.9
Laetitia VOISIN Far left 763 1.9
Anne-Marie FOURNIER RN and allies 11 0.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated