Morbihan — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Morbihan
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 56% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.6 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 89%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morbihan — 6ème circonscription | 37.5% | 28.0% | 22.9% | 6.6% |
| Provincial averageMorbihan | 33.8%+3.7 | 25.6%+2.4 | 24.3%−1.4 | 5.6%+0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.5 | 17.0%+11.0 | 29.0%−6.1 | 12.2%−5.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Michel JACQUES · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 9.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathalie GUIHOT-VIEIRA | RN and allies | 22,728 | 34.7 |
| Jean-Michel JACQUES Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,675 | 33.1 |
| Jean-Michel BAUDRY | Left (NFP) | 15,561 | 23.8 |
| Daniel BARACH | LR and allies | 3,513 | 5.4 |
| Kelig LAGREE | Far left | 1,213 | 1.9 |
| Valère CHARLERY | Sovereignists | 835 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Morbihan — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Morbihan — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Finistère — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Morbihan — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated