Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Côtes-d'Armor
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 37% chance of winning, with an average lead of 0.8 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 100%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription | 29.7% | 28.9% | 28.8% | 6.8% |
| Provincial averageCôtes-d'Armor | 27.3%+2.4 | 24.9%+3.9 | 32.9%−4.1 | 10.2%−3.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+0.6 | 17.0%+11.8 | 36.0%−7.2 | 12.2%−5.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Mickaël COSSON · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 0.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mickaël COSSON Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,614 | 33.0 |
| Marion GORGIARD | Left (NFP) | 19,926 | 30.4 |
| Françoise BILLAUD | RN and allies | 16,888 | 25.8 |
| Bernard CROGUENNEC | LR and allies | 3,635 | 5.5 |
| Aourell DANJOU | Greens | 1,806 | 2.8 |
| Alain LE FOL | Far left | 671 | 1.0 |
| Virginie MATTASOGLIO | Centre (Ensemble) | 552 | 0.8 |
| Hervé DENIS | Far left | 488 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Côtes-d'Armor — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Côtes-d'Armor — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Morbihan — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated