Morbihan — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Morbihan
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morbihan — 3ème circonscription | 38.9% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 13.4% |
| Provincial averageMorbihan | 33.8%+5.1 | 25.6%−4.0 | 24.3%−4.6 | 5.6%+7.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.9 | 17.0%+4.6 | 29.0%−9.3 | 12.2%+1.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Nicole LE PEIH · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 17.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine OLIVIERO | RN and allies | 24,584 | 35.8 |
| Nicole LE PEIH Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,222 | 26.6 |
| Marie Madeleine DORÉ-LUCAS | Left (NFP) | 13,999 | 20.4 |
| Soizic PERRAULT | LR and allies | 8,340 | 12.2 |
| Jocelyne DEVRIENDT | Others | 1,078 | 1.6 |
| Lionel ÉPAILLARD | Greens | 943 | 1.4 |
| Julie CUCINIELLO | Sovereignists | 719 | 1.0 |
| Julie LEPERT | Far left | 688 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Morbihan — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Morbihan — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Morbihan — 4ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Morbihan — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated