Morbihan — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Morbihan
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 65% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.9 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 62%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morbihan — 2ème circonscription | 32.9% | 27.0% | 24.9% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageMorbihan | 33.8%−0.9 | 25.6%+1.4 | 24.3%+0.7 | 5.6%+4.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−3.1 | 17.0%+10.0 | 29.0%−4.1 | 12.2%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jimmy PAHUN · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 5.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy PAHUN Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 26,667 | 32.1 |
| Florent DE KERSAUSON | RN and allies | 24,920 | 30.0 |
| Jade BENIGUEL | Left (NFP) | 21,405 | 25.8 |
| Pierre CLAVREUIL | LR and allies | 7,472 | 9.0 |
| Maëlig TRÉDAN | Others | 1,615 | 2.0 |
| Yves CHEÈRE | Far left | 899 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Morbihan — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Morbihan — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Morbihan — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Finistère — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated