Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Finistère — 8ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Finistère

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 97% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.7 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 6%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 39.3%
  • RN and allies 33.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.7%
  • Others 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 1.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
Finistère — 8ème circonscription 39.3%33.7%22.7%2.0%
Provincial averageFinistère 32.1%+7.3 30.0%+3.7 27.0%−4.3 2.9%−0.9
National averageFrance 29.0%+10.3 36.0%−2.3 17.0%+5.7 3.9%−1.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Erwan BALANANT · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 5.7 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Christian PEREZ RN and allies 20,003 30.8
Erwan BALANANT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 18,031 27.8
Sébastien MIOSSEC Left (NFP) 14,399 22.2
Thomas LE BON Left (NFP) 11,768 18.1
Anne MOREL Far left 741 1.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated