Finistère — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Finistère
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 74% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 46%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finistère — 1ère circonscription | 31.9% | 27.9% | 27.5% | 9.5% |
| Provincial averageFinistère | 32.1%−0.1 | 27.0%+0.9 | 30.0%−2.5 | 6.3%+3.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+2.9 | 17.0%+10.9 | 36.0%−8.5 | 12.2%−2.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Annaïg LE MEUR · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 4.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annaïg LE MEUR Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 22,422 | 33.0 |
| Grégory LEBERT | Left (NFP) | 22,303 | 32.8 |
| Christel HÉNAFF | RN and allies | 16,083 | 23.7 |
| Alain LE GRAND | LR and allies | 5,652 | 8.3 |
| Serge HARDY | Far left | 858 | 1.3 |
| France HERMAN | RN and allies | 620 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Finistère — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Finistère — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Finistère — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Finistère — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Finistère — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Finistère — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated