Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Finistère — 4ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Finistère

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 65% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.3 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 55%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 30.0%
  • RN and allies 28.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.5%
  • LR and allies 12.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Finistère — 4ème circonscription 30.0%28.7%25.5%12.2%
Provincial averageFinistère 32.1%−2.0 30.0%−1.3 27.0%−1.5 6.3%+5.9
National averageFrance 29.0%+1.0 36.0%−7.2 17.0%+8.5 12.2%

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Sandrine LE FEUR · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 1.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Sylvaine VULPIANI Left (NFP) 18,765 30.9
Sandrine LE FEUR Elected Centre (Ensemble) 18,586 30.6
Tony BIHOUEE RN and allies 15,690 25.9
Agnès LE BRUN LR and allies 6,697 11.0
Patricia BLOSSE Far left 942 1.6

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated