Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Finistère — 5ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Finistère

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 44% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.1 points.

Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 85%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 29.4%
  • Left (NFP) 26.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.8%
  • LR and allies 12.3%
  • Others 4.5%
  • Sovereignists 1.0%
  • Far left 0.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Finistère — 5ème circonscription 29.4%26.3%25.8%12.3%
Provincial averageFinistère 30.0%−0.6 32.1%−5.7 27.0%−1.2 6.3%+6.1
National averageFrance 36.0%−6.6 29.0%−2.7 17.0%+8.8 12.2%+0.1

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Graziella MELCHIOR · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 3.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Graziella MELCHIOR Elected Centre (Ensemble) 21,567 30.3
Gladys GRELAUD Left (NFP) 19,371 27.2
Renée THOMAÏDIS RN and allies 18,884 26.5
Félix BRIANT LR and allies 7,943 11.2
Marcel BERROU Others 1,807 2.5
Alexandre MARTIN Sovereignists 641 0.9
Christian CAJEAN Far left 553 0.8
Dominique LERESTIF Centre (Ensemble) 402 0.6

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated