Finistère — 2ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Finistère

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 81% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.0 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 35%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	RN and allies	LR and allies
Finistère — 2ème circonscription	34.6%	30.6%	26.4%	4.0%
Provincial averageFinistère	32.1%+2.5	27.0%+3.6	30.0%−3.6	6.3%−2.3
National averageFrance	29.0%+5.5	17.0%+13.6	36.0%−9.5	12.2%−8.3

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Pierre-Yves CADALEN · Left (NFP)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 4.0 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Pierre-Yves CADALEN Elected	Left (NFP)	18,850	35.3
Denis KERVELLA	RN and allies	12,065	22.6
Jean-Charles LARSONNEUR	Centre (Ensemble)	9,874	18.5
Tristan BRÉHIER	Centre (Ensemble)	9,105	17.0
Françoise HOUARD	LR and allies	1,444	2.7
Geneviève HENRY	Greens	1,131	2.1
Alain ROUSSEAU	RN and allies	373	0.7
Rémy COLLARD	Far left	357	0.7
Melvyn HITA	Far left	172	0.3
Martial KOFFI	RN and allies	55	0.1

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.