Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Finistère — 3ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Finistère

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 94% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 9%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 33.8%
  • RN and allies 31.2%
  • Left (NFP) 26.0%
  • Others 5.1%
  • Sovereignists 1.6%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 1.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies Left (NFP) Others
Finistère — 3ème circonscription 33.8%31.2%26.0%5.1%
Provincial averageFinistère 27.0%+6.8 30.0%+1.2 32.1%−6.0 2.9%+2.2
National averageFrance 17.0%+16.8 36.0%−4.7 29.0%−3.0 3.9%+1.2

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Didier LE GAC · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 2.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Didier LE GAC Elected Centre (Ensemble) 26,139 38.9
Martine DONVAL RN and allies 18,627 27.7
Pierre SMOLARZ Left (NFP) 18,074 26.9
Hélène FAVE Others 1,808 2.7
Marie-Louise THOMAS Sovereignists 1,050 1.6
Matthieu MULLER Far left 742 1.1
Ronan PERROT RN and allies 427 0.6
Annie COLINET Others 293 0.4

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated