Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Côtes-d'Armor
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 80% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.5 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 35%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription | 38.6% | 30.1% | 25.5% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageCôtes-d'Armor | 32.9%+5.7 | 27.3%+2.9 | 24.9%+0.5 | 1.6%+0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.6 | 29.0%+1.1 | 17.0%+8.5 | 1.1%+1.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Murielle LEPVRAUD · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 8.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noël LUDE | RN and allies | 19,700 | 34.3 |
| Murielle LEPVRAUD Elected | Left (NFP) | 17,826 | 31.0 |
| Cyril JOBIC | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,555 | 30.6 |
| Sylvie LIRONCOURT | Far left | 1,505 | 2.6 |
| Danielle LE MEN | RN and allies | 854 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Côtes-d'Armor — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Finistère — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Finistère — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated