Morbihan — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Morbihan
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 88% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 20%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morbihan — 5ème circonscription | 34.6% | 30.8% | 29.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageMorbihan | 24.3%+10.4 | 33.8%−3.0 | 25.6%+3.9 | 8.8%−6.8 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+5.6 | 36.0%−5.2 | 17.0%+12.5 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Damien GIRARD · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 3.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damien GIRARD Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,612 | 35.6 |
| Lysiane MÉTAYER | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,081 | 34.6 |
| Aurélie LE GOFF | RN and allies | 15,386 | 27.9 |
| Blandine PIERRON | Far left | 1,067 | 1.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Finistère — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Morbihan — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Morbihan — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Finistère — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated