Mayenne — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Mayenne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayenne — 3ème circonscription | 43.5% | 34.0% | 18.3% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageMayenne | 24.5%+19.0 | 32.9%+1.1 | 27.5%−9.2 | 2.1%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+26.5 | 36.0%−2.0 | 29.0%−10.7 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Yannick FAVENNEC · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 9.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yannick FAVENNEC Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 23,294 | 48.7 |
| Annie BELL | RN and allies | 14,884 | 31.1 |
| Stéphanie LEFOULON | Left (NFP) | 9,176 | 19.2 |
| Martine AMELIN | Far left | 494 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mayenne — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Mayenne — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Orne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Orne — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Manche — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated