Calvados — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Calvados
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 50% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.6 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 99%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvados — 6ème circonscription | 40.1% | 31.5% | 22.3% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageCalvados | 34.8%+5.2 | 19.8%+11.6 | 26.1%−3.8 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.1 | 17.0%+14.5 | 29.0%−6.7 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Elisabeth BORNE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 8.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas CALBRIX | RN and allies | 24,077 | 36.3 |
| Elisabeth BORNE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,213 | 28.9 |
| Noé GAUCHARD | Left (NFP) | 15,376 | 23.2 |
| Lynda LAHALLE | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,080 | 7.7 |
| Philippe AMBOURG | Sovereignists | 1,128 | 1.7 |
| Esteline CAILLEMER | RN and allies | 650 | 1.0 |
| Pascale GEORGET | Far left | 616 | 0.9 |
| Bérengère LAREYNIE | Far left | 262 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Calvados — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Orne — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Orne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Manche — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated