Gard — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gard
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gard — 5ème circonscription | 43.8% | 32.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Provincial averageGard | 48.7%−4.9 | 26.7%+5.4 | 12.6%−2.2 | 8.4%+0.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.8 | 29.0%+3.1 | 17.0%−6.6 | 12.2%−3.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Alexandre ALLEGRET-PILOT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre ALLEGRET-PILOT Elected | RN and allies | 27,602 | 41.0 |
| Michel SALA | Left (NFP) | 22,228 | 33.0 |
| Catherine DAUFÈS-ROUX | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,362 | 15.4 |
| Léa BOYER | LR and allies | 5,399 | 8.0 |
| Agnès OLINET | Far left | 961 | 1.4 |
| Nordine TRIA | Others | 752 | 1.1 |
| Emmanuel ESPANOL | RN and allies | 1 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hérault — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Hérault — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated