Ardennes — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ardennes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 82% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.4 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 37%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardennes — 2ème circonscription | 43.6% | 31.2% | 17.3% | 4.4% |
| Provincial averageArdennes | 46.1%−2.4 | 26.3%+5.0 | 14.8%+2.4 | 8.5%−4.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.7 | 12.2%+19.0 | 29.0%−11.8 | 17.0%−12.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Pierre CORDIER · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pauline MESTER | RN and allies | 15,097 | 40.8 |
| Pierre CORDIER Elected | LR and allies | 11,147 | 30.2 |
| Gilles LOYEZ | Left (NFP) | 6,688 | 18.1 |
| Philippe MATHOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,467 | 9.4 |
| Mink TAKAWE | Far left | 308 | 0.8 |
| Patrick BENYOUCEF | Far left | 264 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ardennes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ardennes — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Nord — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Meuse — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated