Meuse — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Meuse
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meuse — 2ème circonscription | 51.2% | 31.6% | 13.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageMeuse | 49.7%+1.4 | 33.1%−1.5 | 12.9%+0.1 | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+15.2 | 12.2%+19.4 | 29.0%−16.0 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Florence GOULET · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 19.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florence GOULET Elected | RN and allies | 19,011 | 50.6 |
| Jerome DUMONT | LR and allies | 11,976 | 31.9 |
| Johan LAFLOTTE | Left (NFP) | 5,391 | 14.4 |
| Valentine LAFUE | Greens | 742 | 2.0 |
| Pierre NORDEMANN | Far left | 431 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meuse — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ardennes — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Moselle — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated