Meurthe-et-Moselle — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Meurthe-et-Moselle
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 18.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meurthe-et-Moselle — 3ème circonscription | 46.2% | 27.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% |
| Provincial averageMeurthe-et-Moselle | 39.4%+6.8 | 31.4%−3.8 | 11.7%+1.2 | 13.3%−4.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.3 | 29.0%−1.4 | 17.0%−4.0 | 12.2%−3.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Frédéric WEBER · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 18.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frédéric WEBER Elected | RN and allies | 19,938 | 43.5 |
| Martine ETIENNE | Left (NFP) | 13,068 | 28.5 |
| Valérie MAURICE | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,248 | 18.0 |
| Mathieu SERVAGI | LR and allies | 3,599 | 7.8 |
| Xavier BOURY | Far left | 1,022 | 2.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Moselle — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meuse — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Moselle — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated