Moselle — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Moselle
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moselle — 8ème circonscription | 49.1% | 28.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Provincial averageMoselle | 46.0%+3.2 | 20.8%+7.3 | 11.6%−0.9 | 16.7%−9.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+13.2 | 29.0%−0.9 | 17.0%−6.3 | 12.2%−4.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Laurent JACOBELLI · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 21.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent JACOBELLI Elected | RN and allies | 23,558 | 46.4 |
| Céline LEGER | Left (NFP) | 14,724 | 29.0 |
| Samuel ZONATO | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,986 | 15.7 |
| Raphaëlle ROSA | LR and allies | 3,296 | 6.5 |
| Annick JOLIVET | Far left | 1,249 | 2.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Moselle — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Moselle — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated