Moselle — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Moselle
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 93% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 13%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moselle — 3ème circonscription | 36.4% | 34.0% | 26.1% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageMoselle | 46.0%−9.6 | 16.7%+17.3 | 20.8%+5.3 | 3.2%−1.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+0.4 | 12.2%+21.8 | 29.0%−2.9 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Nathalie COLIN-OESTERLÉ · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 2.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor CHOMARD | RN and allies | 16,948 | 35.3 |
| Nathalie COLIN-OESTERLÉ Elected | LR and allies | 16,631 | 34.7 |
| Charlotte LEDUC | Left (NFP) | 13,565 | 28.3 |
| Etienne HODARA | Far left | 699 | 1.5 |
| Gaël DIAFERIA | Far left | 143 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Moselle — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Moselle — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Moselle — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated