Moselle — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Moselle
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 80% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.6 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 37%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moselle — 2ème circonscription | 40.3% | 25.7% | 25.1% | 6.7% |
| Provincial averageMoselle | 46.0%−5.7 | 20.8%+4.9 | 11.6%+13.5 | 3.2%+3.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.3 | 29.0%−3.3 | 17.0%+8.1 | 3.9%+2.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Ludovic MENDES · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Claude VOINCON | RN and allies | 18,352 | 37.5 |
| Ludovic MENDES Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,795 | 30.2 |
| Victorien NICOLAS | Left (NFP) | 13,028 | 26.6 |
| Laurent PARISSE | Others | 1,477 | 3.0 |
| Aurélie CONTAL | Others | 741 | 1.5 |
| Mario RINALDI | Far left | 461 | 0.9 |
| Gisèle TATY BOUANGA | Others | 109 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Moselle — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated