Gaspé
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Méganne Perry Mélançon (Parti Québécois) wins with 58.8% of the vote, 45.4 points ahead of Stéphane Sainte-Croix (CAQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Méganne Perry Mélançon | PQ | 10,525 | 58.8% |
| Stéphane Sainte-Croix | CAQ | 2,404 | 13.4% |
| Michel Marin | QLP | 2,278 | 12.7% |
| Christian Pierry | PCQ | 1,358 | 7.6% |
| Emmanuelle Babin | QS | 1,322 | 7.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 60.1% | 58.8% | −1.3 |
| CAQ | 7.6% | 13.4% | +5.8 |
| QLP | 14.3% | 12.7% | −1.6 |
| PCQ | 11.1% | 7.6% | −3.5 |
| QS | 5.0% | 7.4% | +2.4 |
| Other | 1.9% | 0.0% | −1.9 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 39% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 23.6% Rank 59 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 39% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +16% 2022: 20.4% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (61.0%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | QLP | PCQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaspé | 60.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+31.4 | 24.8%−10.4 | 20.2%−9.1 | 13.9%−6.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 3.9 points, with 61.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 44.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane Sainte-Croix Elected | CAQ | 7,542 | 41.4 |
| Méganne Perry Mélançon | PQ | 6,832 | 37.5 |
| Yv Bonnier Viger | QS | 1,634 | 9.0 |
| Michel Marin | QLP | 1,255 | 6.9 |
| Pier-Luc Bouchard | PCQ | 956 | 5.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bonaventure PQ, safe seat
- Matane-Matapédia-Mitis PQ, safe seat
- René-Lévesque PQ, safe seat
- Rimouski PQ, safe seat
- Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques CAQ, toss-up
- Côte-du-Sud PCQ, competitive
- Forecast updated