Matane-Matapédia-Mitis
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Pascal Bérubé (Parti Québécois) wins with 67.8% of the vote, 54.6 points ahead of Patrice Caron (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Bérubé | PQ | 19,801 | 67.8% |
| Patrice Caron | PCQ | 3,867 | 13.3% |
| André Côté | QLP | 1,974 | 6.8% |
| Henry Maclaren | CAQ | 1,927 | 6.6% |
| Gabriel Plante | QS | 1,347 | 4.6% |
| Alexandre Mari0 Br0s Cossette | Other | 174 | 0.6% |
| Michel Lefrancois | Other | 103 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 68.3% | 67.8% | −0.4 |
| PCQ | 13.0% | 13.3% | +0.2 |
| QLP | 6.7% | 6.8% | +0.1 |
| CAQ | 8.8% | 6.6% | −2.2 |
| QS | 2.8% | 4.6% | +1.8 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 31% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 20.2% Rank 99 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 31% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +18% 2022: 17.1% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 28 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (64.9%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matane-Matapédia-Mitis | 68.3% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+39.5 | 20.2%−7.2 | 13.9%−5.1 | 24.8%−18.1 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The PQ won by 50.1 points, with 64.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 54.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Bérubé Elected | PQ | 20,057 | 67.4 |
| Jean-Sébastien Barriault | CAQ | 5,163 | 17.4 |
| Alexandre Leblanc | PCQ | 2,316 | 7.8 |
| Marie-Phare Boucher | QS | 1,450 | 4.9 |
| Harley Ryan Lounsbury | QLP | 637 | 2.1 |
| Madeleine Rose | Other | 123 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bonaventure PQ, safe seat
- Rimouski PQ, safe seat
- René-Lévesque PQ, safe seat
- Gaspé PQ, safe seat
- Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques CAQ, toss-up
- Côte-du-Sud PCQ, competitive
- Forecast updated