Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Ariane Boyer (Parti Québécois) wins with 35.3% of the vote, 12.3 points ahead of Louise Moreault (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane Boyer | PQ | 12,745 | 35.3% |
| Louise Moreault | PCQ | 8,306 | 23.0% |
| Amélie Dionne | CAQ | 7,110 | 19.7% |
| Karine Malenfant | QLP | 5,189 | 14.4% |
| Pierre-Erik Isabelle | QS | 2,433 | 6.7% |
| Carole Sierpien | Other | 330 | 0.9% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the CAQ favoured at 41% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the PQ won instead.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 25.8% | 35.3% | +9.5 |
| PCQ | 26.2% | 23.0% | −3.2 |
| CAQ | 27.4% | 19.7% | −7.7 |
| QLP | 12.6% | 14.4% | +1.7 |
| QS | 7.5% | 6.7% | −0.7 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 34% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 23.7% Rank 58 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 34% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +23% 2022: 19.2% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 14 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (68.9%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| CAQ | PCQ | PQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques | 27.4% | 26.2% | 25.8% | 12.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 13.9%+13.4 | 20.2%+6.0 | 28.7%−3.0 | 24.8%−12.1 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 34.5 points, with 68.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the CAQ ahead by 4.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amélie Dionne Elected | CAQ | 18,183 | 52.1 |
| Félix Rioux | PQ | 6,141 | 17.6 |
| Myriam Lapointe-Gagnon | QS | 5,102 | 14.6 |
| Louise Moreault | PCQ | 3,937 | 11.3 |
| Louis Bellemare | QLP | 1,388 | 4.0 |
| Carole Sierpien | Other | 174 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Côte-du-Sud PCQ, competitive
- Rimouski PQ, safe seat
- Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré PQ, toss-up
- Bellechasse PCQ, safe seat
- Matane-Matapédia-Mitis PQ, safe seat
- Chicoutimi PQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated