Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Ungava

Provincial riding · Quebec

October 5, 2026 result

Sonia Caron (Parti Québécois) wins with 39.5% of the vote, 12.0 points ahead of Sandrine Rioux (QLP).

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Sonia Caron PQ 3,312 39.5%
Sandrine Rioux QLP 2,308 27.5%
Marc Damant PCQ 1,447 17.3%
Amélie Béchard CAQ 863 10.3%
Antoine Côté QS 452 5.4%

Preliminary results, 111 of 111 polls, retrieved October 6, 2026 · Turnout: 27.7% · Official source

Our forecast before the vote

We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 57% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the PQ won instead.

PartyForecastResultGap
PQ 27.5% 39.5% +12.0
QLP 29.5% 27.5% −1.9
PCQ 19.7% 17.3% −2.4
CAQ 11.0% 10.3% −0.7
QS 10.4% 5.4% −5.0
Other 2.0% 0.0% −2.0

Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.

Advance voting · September 27 and 28

About 28% of votes were cast in advance

Registered electors who voted
8.3%
Rank 127 of 127
Quebec average
23.6%
Estimated share of votes already cast
≈ 28%
Quebec: about 36%
Compared with 2022
+94%
2022: 4.3% · Quebec: +12%

Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 1 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.

Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (30.2%). See all 127 ridings

Compared with the average

QLP PQ PCQ CAQ
Ungava 29.5%27.5%19.7%11.0%
Provincial averageQuebec 24.8%+4.7 28.7%−1.2 20.2%−0.5 13.9%−2.9

Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election (2022)

The CAQ won by 12.0 points, with 30.2% turnout.

Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 6.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2022

Candidate Party Votes %
Denis Lamothe Elected CAQ 3,132 36.3
Maïtée Labrecque-Saganash QS 2,092 24.2
Tunu Napartuk QLP 1,571 18.2
Christine Moore PQ 1,084 12.6
Nancy Lalancette PCQ 756 8.8

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated