Lotbinière-Frontenac
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Renaud Labrecque (Conservative Party of Quebec) wins with 54.4% of the vote, 36.0 points ahead of Jonathan Moreau (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renaud Labrecque | PCQ | 23,976 | 54.4% |
| Jonathan Moreau | PQ | 8,117 | 18.4% |
| Ludovic Beauregard | QLP | 5,647 | 12.8% |
| Roch Gamache | CAQ | 4,153 | 9.4% |
| Elisabeth St-Aubin | QS | 1,827 | 4.1% |
| Charles-Eugène Bergeron | Other | 205 | 0.5% |
| Violette L'Ecuyer | Other | 154 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 94% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 41.8% | 54.4% | +12.6 |
| PQ | 19.3% | 18.4% | −0.9 |
| QLP | 14.2% | 12.8% | −1.4 |
| CAQ | 17.5% | 9.4% | −8.1 |
| QS | 6.5% | 4.1% | −2.4 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 31% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 23.2% Rank 64 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 31% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +4% 2022: 22.2% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 96 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (73.9%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | PQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lotbinière-Frontenac | 41.8% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+21.6 | 28.7%−9.4 | 13.9%+3.6 | 24.8%−10.5 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 11.5 points, with 73.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 19.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Lecours Elected | CAQ | 18,330 | 43.7 |
| Christian Gauthier | PCQ | 13,503 | 32.2 |
| Christine Gilbert | QS | 3,925 | 9.4 |
| Louise Marchand | PQ | 3,688 | 8.8 |
| Normand Côté | QLP | 2,483 | 5.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ, competitive
- Louis-Hébert PQ, toss-up
- Beauce-Nord PCQ, safe seat
- Arthabaska-L’Érable PCQ, competitive
- Jean-Talon PQ, competitive
- Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated