Bertrand
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Alexandre Girard-Duchaine (Parti Québécois) wins with 39.9% of the vote, 21.3 points ahead of France-Élaine Duranceau (CAQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Girard-Duchaine | PQ | 15,766 | 39.9% |
| France-Élaine Duranceau | CAQ | 7,362 | 18.6% |
| Éliot Gallant | PCQ | 5,745 | 14.5% |
| Felipe Morales | QLP | 5,603 | 14.2% |
| Nataël Bureau | QS | 4,549 | 11.5% |
| Guillaume Tremblay | Other | 323 | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Godin | Other | 183 | 0.5% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 99% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 41.4% | 39.9% | −1.6 |
| CAQ | 13.4% | 18.6% | +5.2 |
| PCQ | 16.5% | 14.5% | −2.0 |
| QLP | 15.3% | 14.2% | −1.2 |
| QS | 12.0% | 11.5% | −0.5 |
| Other | 1.3% | 1.3% | −0.0 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 44% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 28.4% Rank 20 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 44% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +10% 2022: 25.7% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (64.8%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | QLP | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bertrand | 41.4% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+12.7 | 20.2%−3.7 | 24.8%−9.4 | 13.9%−0.5 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 24.6 points, with 64.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 20.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| France-Élaine Duranceau Elected | CAQ | 15,927 | 45.3 |
| Guillaume Freire | PQ | 7,259 | 20.6 |
| Julie Francoeur | QS | 5,682 | 16.1 |
| Philippe Meloni | PCQ | 3,444 | 9.8 |
| André Nadeau | QLP | 2,115 | 6.0 |
| Karine Steinberger | Other | 448 | 1.3 |
| Marie-Eve Ouellette | Other | 162 | 0.5 |
| Samuel Fortin | Other | 151 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Prévost PQ, safe seat
- Saint-Jérôme PQ, safe seat
- Bellefeuille CAQ, toss-up
- Les Plaines PQ, competitive
- Rousseau PQ, competitive
- Blainville PQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated