Rousseau
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Mathieu Lebrun (Parti Québécois) wins with 44.1% of the vote, 16.1 points ahead of Marie-Ève Boucher (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Lebrun | PQ | 13,634 | 44.1% |
| Marie-Ève Boucher | PCQ | 8,645 | 27.9% |
| Louis-Charles Thouin | CAQ | 3,932 | 12.7% |
| Sashmir Sidney | QLP | 2,513 | 8.1% |
| Hind Rihani | QS | 2,211 | 7.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 90% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 36.3% | 44.1% | +7.8 |
| PCQ | 22.9% | 27.9% | +5.0 |
| CAQ | 17.9% | 12.7% | −5.2 |
| QLP | 12.2% | 8.1% | −4.1 |
| QS | 9.5% | 7.2% | −2.4 |
| Other | 1.2% | 0.0% | −1.2 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 37% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 22.5% Rank 74 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 37% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +10% 2022: 20.4% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (61.5%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rousseau | 36.3% | 22.9% | 17.9% | 12.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+7.5 | 20.2%+2.7 | 13.9%+3.9 | 24.8%−12.6 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 32.7 points, with 61.5% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 12.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louis-Charles Thouin Elected | CAQ | 14,117 | 50.6 |
| Pierre Vanier | PQ | 4,985 | 17.9 |
| Gisèle Desroches | PCQ | 4,180 | 15.0 |
| Ernesto Castro Roch | QS | 3,667 | 13.1 |
| Estelle Regina Lokrou | QLP | 963 | 3.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Masson PQ, competitive
- L'Assomption PQ, competitive
- Terrebonne PQ, safe seat
- Repentigny PQ, competitive
- Les Plaines PQ, competitive
- Joliette PQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated