Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Alabama’s 7th District

U.S. House · AL-7

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 32.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 66.0%
  • Republican 34.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Democrat Republican
AL-7 66.0%34.0%
National averageUnited States 54.5%+11.5 44.2%−10.2

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Sewell, Terri A. · Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Sewell, Terri A.

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Republican Challenger

    Akin, Ammie

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Republican Challenger

    Murphy, Morgan W. W.

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

Previous election (2024)

The Democrats won by 22.8 points.

Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 32.0 points.

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:

  • Former district 7 74%
  • Former district 2 26%

Nearby districts

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

  • AL-6 Republican, safe seat
  • AL-2 Republican, toss-up
  • AL-1 Republican, safe seat
  • AL-4 Republican, safe seat
  • AL-3 Republican, safe seat
  • AL-5 Republican, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. AZ-2Republican52%5.7-point gap
  2. KY-6Republican53%5.8-point gap
  3. VA-1Republican58%5.8-point gap
Forecast updated