Alabama’s 6th District

U.S. House · AL-6

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Republican	Democrat
AL-6	62.8%	37.2%
National averageUnited States	44.2%+18.5	54.5%−17.3

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Latino citizens aged 18 and over	2.8% (± 0.2)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Gary Palmer · Republican

Held August 11, 2026 · Certified official result · Official source

Republican primary	Gary Palmer	87.0%	24,497 votes

Who's running

Candidates for the upcoming election.

The Republicans won by 40.8 points.

Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 25.6 points.

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.