France · 2027 presidential poll

Ipsos — May 28, 2026

Fieldwork
May 27, 2026 → May 28, 2026
Sample
1,500 respondents
Published
May 28, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Jordan Bardella 33.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%
  • Édouard Philippe 13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 11%
  • Gabriel Attal 8.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau 7.5%
  • Fabien Roussel 4%
  • Marine Tondelier 4%
  • Éric Zemmour 4%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

House effect: on the same lineups, Ipsos usually puts Glucksmann 1.7 pt higher than other pollsters (9 comparisons within 60 days). Not an error: each pollster has its method, and our average accounts for it.

Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

This poll tested 8 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Bardella, Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella33.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Édouard Philippe13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Gabriel Attal8.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau7.5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Knafo

  • Marine Le Pen31%
  • Édouard Philippe14%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Gabriel Attal8.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau8.5%
  • Sarah Knafo4.5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Attal, Hollande, Knafo

  • Marine Le Pen32%
  • Édouard Philippe14.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.5%
  • Gabriel Attal9.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau8.5%
  • François Hollande7%
  • Sarah Knafo4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Bardella, Philippe, Attal, Hollande, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.5%
  • Édouard Philippe13.5%
  • Gabriel Attal9.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • François Hollande7%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 5 · with Bardella, Attal, Glucksmann, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella35%
  • Gabriel Attal14.5%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 6 · with Bardella, Attal, Hollande, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella36%
  • Gabriel Attal17.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • François Hollande8%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 7 · with Bardella, Philippe, Glucksmann, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella34%
  • Édouard Philippe17.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann13%
  • Bruno Retailleau9%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 8 · with Bardella, Philippe, Hollande, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella35.5%
  • Édouard Philippe19%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau9%
  • François Hollande7.5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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