France · 2027 presidential poll

IFOP — March 27, 2025

Fieldwork
March 26, 2025 → March 27, 2025
Sample
1,119 respondents
Published
March 27, 2025
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 34%
  • Édouard Philippe 21%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%
  • Bruno Retailleau 11%
  • Olivier Faure 5%
  • Éric Zemmour 5%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Marine Tondelier 3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%
  • Philippe Poutou 1%

This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Retailleau, Faure, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Édouard Philippe21%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • Olivier Faure5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Glucksmann, Wauquiez, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Édouard Philippe20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Attal, Wauquiez, Faure, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen37%
  • Gabriel Attal20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Laurent Wauquiez8%
  • Olivier Faure5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Wauquiez, Faure, Dupont-Aignan, Tondelier

  • Marine Le Pen36%
  • Édouard Philippe25%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Olivier Faure4%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan4%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 5 · with Bardella, Glucksmann, Sébastien, Bayrou

  • Jordan Bardella25%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann4%
  • Patrick Sébastien4%
  • François Bayrou3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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