France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — May 27, 2026

Fieldwork
May 25, 2026 → May 27, 2026
Sample
1,744 respondents
Published
May 27, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Jordan Bardella 32%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14%
  • Édouard Philippe 13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 10%
  • Gabriel Attal 9%
  • Bruno Retailleau 8%
  • Éric Zemmour 5%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Marine Tondelier 3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

Since the pollster’s previous wave (April 30, 2026), same lineup:

  • Mélenchon 13% → 15% (+2 pts)
  • Retailleau 12% → 10% (−2 pts)
  • Bardella 35% → 34% (−1 pt)
See the previous wave →
Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

Run-off match-ups tested

  • null 33% — 67% null
  • null 32% — 68% null
  • null 48% — 52% null
  • null 46% — 54% null
  • null 46% — 54% null
  • null 43% — 57% null

This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Bardella, Philippe, Attal, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella32%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
  • Édouard Philippe13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann10%
  • Gabriel Attal9%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Bardella, Attal, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Gabriel Attal14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Knafo

  • Marine Le Pen31%
  • Édouard Philippe19%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Sarah Knafo6%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Attal, Knafo

  • Marine Le Pen32%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Gabriel Attal15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • Sarah Knafo6%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 5 · with Bardella, Philippe, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella34%
  • Édouard Philippe17%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann10%
  • Bruno Retailleau9%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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