Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Guyane — 1ère circonscription

Legislative constituency · Guyane

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives another bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 54.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Others 71.3%
  • LR and allies 16.4%
  • RN and allies 11.7%
  • Left (NFP) 0.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Others LR and allies RN and allies Left (NFP)
Guyane — 1ère circonscription 71.3%16.4%11.7%0.5%
Provincial averageGuyane 66.6%+4.7 8.8%+7.6 7.4%+4.3 2.0%−1.5
National averageFrance 3.9%+67.3 12.2%+4.2 36.0%−24.3 29.0%−28.5

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Jean-Victor CASTOR · Others

Previous election (2024)

Another bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: another bloc ahead by 54.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Jean-Victor CASTOR Elected Others 12,895 62.8
Boris CHONG SIT LR and allies 3,308 16.1
Yvane GOUA Others 2,158 10.5
Olivier TAOUMI RN and allies 1,916 9.3
Jean-Yves MIRAKOFF Left (NFP) 264 1.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated