Haute-Corse — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Corse
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives another bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Others | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Corse — 1ère circonscription | 41.7% | 32.6% | 14.8% | 8.1% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Corse | 37.8%+3.9 | 29.8%+2.9 | 7.4%+7.4 | 4.1%+4.1 |
| National averageFrance | 3.9%+37.7 | 36.0%−3.3 | 17.0%−2.2 | 29.0%−20.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Michel CASTELLANI · Others
Previous election (2024)
Another bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: another bloc ahead by 9.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michel CASTELLANI Elected | Others | 11,962 | 31.7 |
| Jean-Michel MARCHAL | RN and allies | 10,855 | 28.8 |
| Julien MORGANTI | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,436 | 14.4 |
| Sacha BASTELICA | Left (NFP) | 3,353 | 8.9 |
| Jean-François PAOLI | Centre (Ensemble) | 2,045 | 5.4 |
| Nicolas BATTINI | Others | 1,603 | 4.3 |
| Jean-Baptiste LUCCIARDI | Others | 1,471 | 3.9 |
| Alexis FERNANDEZ | Sovereignists | 393 | 1.0 |
| Jean-Michel LAMBERTI | RN and allies | 370 | 1.0 |
| Olivier JOSUÉ | Far left | 203 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Corse — 2ème circonscription Others, toss-up
- Corse-du-Sud — 1ère circonscription Others, safe seat
- Corse-du-Sud — 2ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated